Analyzing the Trump cult voting patterns

[Pototan]

I firmly believe that a large portion, about a third of Trump voters, act like a cult They vote for Trump and only Trump. I have spoken to some of these voters. They used to never vote at all, or if they did, it was infrequently at best.

Let me state some facts and then tell you how I interpret them. Let's take this most recent Presidential election. Trump won every swing state and the popular vote. Yet, in every swing state, the Democrat ran ahead of Harris and in 4 of the 5 statewide contests, the Democrat won outright. Wisconsin (Senate), Arizona (Senate), North Carolina (Governor) and Michigan (Governor). Only in Pennsylvania did the Democrat lose statewide (Senate) by just a quarter point, and he outpolled Harris by tens of thousands of votes. And even though Trump won the popular vote, the Republicans still lost a seat in the House overall. Those are the facts.

Here is my interpretation. Because such a large part of the Trump vote is a cult, his voters vote for him and no one else. They blank down ballot. I have spoken to some of these voters. They love Trump because they don't consider him a politician. When it comes to mid-terms and special elections, Democrats do much better, because Trump is not on the ballot. and the ballot consists of "only politicians", so why bother?

I've looked at this in many different ways and I can't come to any other conclusion than what I have written here. If my theory is correct, we should do quite well on Tuesday in Wisconsin and even Florida. We may not win outright in the 2 Florida specials, but I think we will overperform. In Wisconsin, we will win by 8 points, if my theory is correct.

Fingers crossed.

[mucifer]

1. No, they also hate us. they took the house and senate unless it was stolen.

[Pototan]

2. The Senate map was our enemy

and a President who wins the popular vote should have more than a 3 vote margin in the House.

We'll see Tuesday.

[Woodwizard]

4. The ones I know vote straight republican.

Always have, their knowledge of issues is non existent but they vote most elections. Admittedly they are people I have to deal with, mostly in laws no maga in my social circle of friends.

So my sample size is limited.

[Pototan]

5. Republicans who have always voted Republican

for 20 years or more are not the cultist I'm referring to. The people I mean are those who voted infrequently, if at all, until Trump came on the scene.

They are the type who hate "all politicians" and admit they are not really Republican. They only vote for Trump. They probably make up about 15% of the Trump vote and 5% of the overall vote.

They only vote in elections in which Trump's name appears on the ballot and in elections Trump runs in, they blank the rest of the ballot.

[Beringia]

6. Florida 6th stays in MAGA hands post by ProudMNDemocrat

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100220197085


Florida 6th stays in MAGA hands...

Whatever is in the water down in Florida says that voters there WANT to see Health, Education, their Medicare and Social Security get cut or eliminated. That they SUPPORT what Trump and his co-President Musk destroying this country and economy.

SHAME on you, Florida! So sorry! I am NOT spending any money in your state.

[Pototan]

7. Republican won by less than half the margin of Waltz

If we pick up 10 to 15 points in every district in the midterms, we'll have 285 seats.