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Aviation Pro

(14,225 posts)
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:02 AM Apr 9

I'll go contrarian here: Quit rooting for the market to fail

People will lose their jobs and homes. It’s unseemly not to realize this and best summed up by this scene from The Big Short. Just don’t fucking dance.

38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I'll go contrarian here: Quit rooting for the market to fail (Original Post) Aviation Pro Apr 9 OP
This is a direct result of Trump's disastrous policies newdeal2 Apr 9 #1
Who is rooting for the market to fail? Most of us hope to retire. nt Gore1FL Apr 9 #2
Have you not seen all the posts complaining that the market hasn't been in open freefall? EdmondDantes_ Apr 9 #13
I have not. I tend to focus on posts with linked articles. nt Gore1FL Apr 9 #14
No, I haven't. muriel_volestrangler Apr 9 #21
Noting it is not freefalling when rationality (not emotion) indicates it should be is NOT "complaining", NOT "rooting" Bernardo de La Paz Apr 10 #37
I agree. Great movie btw. 👍 Dave Bowman Apr 9 #3
The recession is the worry, the markets only have meaning right now because of the recession they're a harbinger for Johnny2X2X Apr 9 #4
This exactly. trump's stupid tariff moves have just about baked in... brush Apr 9 #27
That is a worry but stock market crashes have immediate impact as well spooky3 Apr 9 #31
Not unless they're a risk taking lunatic Johnny2X2X Apr 9 #32
You don't have to be 100% in equities to lose lots of money . Financial advisers spooky3 Apr 9 #34
Welp, you vote Republican, this will happen AStern Apr 9 #5
maga tried to make "gay" a negative for everything. Failed. Own the word "woke" & make them fail on that too. . .nt Bernardo de La Paz Apr 9 #12
I have no desire to see anyone suffer a financial setback..... anciano Apr 9 #6
You can't invest wisely without including stocks. Bond and CD returns spooky3 Apr 9 #35
More will suffer if it's not turned around quickly, so let's get this band-aid off already. Maru Kitteh Apr 9 #7
this one really does have "two-sides..." If one is not conflicted, then I think they are not assessing the full hlthe2b Apr 9 #8
The only good thing about the market failing is that it causes distress to the rich. milestogo Apr 9 #9
I am not rich. Hangingon Apr 9 #20
Understood. milestogo Apr 9 #25
Over half of Americans have stocks in their 401ks or elsewhere spooky3 Apr 9 #36
Yes blubunyip Apr 9 #24
K&R for, frequent Reccer here will try to get you into the Modified Contrarian mode: UTUSN Apr 9 #10
No, I am rooting for the market to fail EnergizedLib Apr 9 #11
Most people are going to feel the consequences regardless fujiyamasan Apr 9 #15
Kind of feeling on a fence right now. Karma13612 Apr 9 #16
I don't want anyone to suffer because of this. Aristus Apr 9 #17
No one wants it to fail genxlib Apr 9 #18
There are no good alternatives here... Even turning it into a drinking game JCMach1 Apr 9 #19
That doesn't seem "contrarian"; it's normal. muriel_volestrangler Apr 9 #22
This is one of my favorite blue-wave Apr 9 #23
Pray away the Fail! Torchlight Apr 9 #26
Why TF would I root for the markets to fall? bif Apr 9 #28
Forget about the market, trump's stupid tariff moves have just about... brush Apr 9 #29
Nope. A short, deep disaster is our best hope. But he's going to drag it out till Scrivener7 Apr 9 #30
It does look like many are hoping for a recession. I think this tariffs thing is doc03 Apr 9 #33
I get what you are saying.... Happy Hoosier Apr 10 #38

newdeal2

(2,332 posts)
1. This is a direct result of Trump's disastrous policies
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:06 AM
Apr 9

Aided by the most unqualified cabinet in history and an impotent Congress. Not because of our wishful thinking.

If this is what breaks the MAGA fever, so be it.

EdmondDantes_

(412 posts)
13. Have you not seen all the posts complaining that the market hasn't been in open freefall?
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:22 AM
Apr 9

Or ranting that if there's even an hour of stocks going up it's some obvious conspiracy to falsely hold up the market to support Trump?

There's a lot of posts that come across as if the market falls it will prove that Trump's policies are bad and so want the market to fall to prove that. Maybe they don't mean to come across that way, and/or maybe some of us are reading them that way for some reason that wasn't the author's intent.

muriel_volestrangler

(103,477 posts)
21. No, I haven't.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 12:37 PM
Apr 9

I think a lot of posts are saying that the market falling proves Trump's policies are bad. But that doesn't mean "complaining it's not in open freefall". Quite the opposite.

Bernardo de La Paz

(54,812 posts)
37. Noting it is not freefalling when rationality (not emotion) indicates it should be is NOT "complaining", NOT "rooting"
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 02:55 AM
Apr 10

It is NOT ranting.

Johnny2X2X

(22,764 posts)
4. The recession is the worry, the markets only have meaning right now because of the recession they're a harbinger for
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:10 AM
Apr 9

Millions of Americans will lose their jobs and many will have their lives ruined because of it.

brush

(59,597 posts)
27. This exactly. trump's stupid tariff moves have just about baked in...
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:18 PM
Apr 9

a coming recession, if not a depression. Most economists have already cited that.

trump doesn't know what the fuck he's doing. The idiot even thinks his tariffs will bring in so much money into the treasusry that we can eliminate income taxes, and he will be hailed as a hero for that.

Such a fool.

spooky3

(37,372 posts)
31. That is a worry but stock market crashes have immediate impact as well
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:32 PM
Apr 9

Lots of retirees depend on being able to safely withdraw from their 401ks and IRAs. A 15% drop means they may have 15% less income right now.

Johnny2X2X

(22,764 posts)
32. Not unless they're a risk taking lunatic
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:54 PM
Apr 9

Any retiree would have to ignore all advice from financial advisors to be 100% in equities. I'm sure there are people like that though.

spooky3

(37,372 posts)
34. You don't have to be 100% in equities to lose lots of money . Financial advisers
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 04:53 PM
Apr 9

Traditionally have recommended a 60/40 equities to bond and cash portfolio for retirees, because bonds and cash generally don’t keep up with inflation—in fact bonds have lost value in many of the recent years.

Here’s just one source but there are many others:
https://www.financialsamurai.com/the-60-40-portfolio/

Over the long run stocks greatly outperform bonds in returns. The problem is that there have been several severe shocks in recent years and if you look only at 2020 to the present, you’d see much more volatility than usual—because of the orange idiot, largely.

I keep seeing this myth and blame-the-victim opinion expressed all over social media. It’s simply wrong.

(Business doctorate and professor who has gotten advice from multiple finance PhDs over the years)

AStern

(211 posts)
5. Welp, you vote Republican, this will happen
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:13 AM
Apr 9

I keep hoping that people will wake up but "woke" it's a slur now so...

Bernardo de La Paz

(54,812 posts)
12. maga tried to make "gay" a negative for everything. Failed. Own the word "woke" & make them fail on that too. . .nt
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:20 AM
Apr 9

anciano

(1,765 posts)
6. I have no desire to see anyone suffer a financial setback.....
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:14 AM
Apr 9

but I have always been of the classical opinion that you "invest" in money instruments, but you "speculate" in stocks. Equity risk is inherent.

spooky3

(37,372 posts)
35. You can't invest wisely without including stocks. Bond and CD returns
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 04:56 PM
Apr 9

For example, do not keep pace with inflation. You’d have to work much longer, and could run out of money in retirement if you avoid stocks or invest very little in them over the course of your work life.

hlthe2b

(109,233 posts)
8. this one really does have "two-sides..." If one is not conflicted, then I think they are not assessing the full
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:18 AM
Apr 9

picture or what comes next- directly from the tariffs, or Trump's reaction to them.

milestogo

(20,331 posts)
9. The only good thing about the market failing is that it causes distress to the rich.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:19 AM
Apr 9

And their cries and complaints have a better chance of being heard anyone else's.

Hangingon

(3,087 posts)
20. I am not rich.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 12:33 PM
Apr 9

My retirement is signifantly supported by instruments that invest in the market. So are the retirements of million of other DUers

milestogo

(20,331 posts)
25. Understood.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:03 PM
Apr 9

I am not rich either. But the only people who have the ear of the powerful are the very rich.

spooky3

(37,372 posts)
36. Over half of Americans have stocks in their 401ks or elsewhere
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 05:08 PM
Apr 9

And those who have pension plans are also affected because their investment managers invest in stocks too.

This tariff bullshit hurts lots of Dems.

UTUSN

(73,898 posts)
10. K&R for, frequent Reccer here will try to get you into the Modified Contrarian mode:
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:20 AM
Apr 9

Nobody needs to root for big fails but taking note of them and hammering the accountability should be fine.




EnergizedLib

(2,496 posts)
11. No, I am rooting for the market to fail
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:20 AM
Apr 9

My sympathy is for 75 million people, while I hope the 77 million suffer.

Crash the market, tank the economy, place the blame where it belongs - Blue Wave in 2026 and 2028.

fujiyamasan

(41 posts)
15. Most people are going to feel the consequences regardless
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:41 AM
Apr 9

Many Americans have 401ks, some still have pensions, and Roth IRAs as well. All of these are tied to the stock market.

There’s no escaping its impact.

Rooting for it to fail is pointless. The market is irrational for the most part. The general economic impacts like mass layoffs will be felt later and that’s something we all feel.

Rooting for fellow Americans to suffer isn’t something that will garner votes. Democrats may find a way to win back some seats if it tanks, but that’s not a given if Trump is able to deflect blame to something else or change the narrative, which with the media we have is especially easy to do.

Karma13612

(4,762 posts)
16. Kind of feeling on a fence right now.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:50 AM
Apr 9

I’m not so much celebrating the stock market falling as I am pleased that I’m no longer invested in it.

I moved my 401K from a target date retirement account into a US Government Funds account a week after Trump was reelected. I couldn’t stomach more crashes, still remembering how bad my tiny investment was hit in 2000, 2008 and the ups and downturns more recently.

My investment seems more stable and I get a small dividend every month.

I do feel really bad about all the people who have pensions in stocks thru their jobs. This is hurting some people who don’t even realize they are at risk.

But, a bit of schadenfreude is fun once in awhile, to make up for the hell we are all facing.

Aristus

(69,710 posts)
17. I don't want anyone to suffer because of this.
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 11:53 AM
Apr 9

But if suffering is the only way the people who voted for Trump will understand what a colossal fuckup they committed, then, well, desperate times…

genxlib

(5,877 posts)
18. No one wants it to fail
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 12:24 PM
Apr 9

It is just that a swift and utter failure is our best chance to derail the path that Trump is on.

Best case scenario, the short term pain causes backlash and a total discrediting of his power and policies. Hopefully before the damage is permanent.

Worst case scenario, the market plays ball for awhile until the destruction is irreversible.

I guess my position is that pain is baked into the system at this point. I am hoping for short and intense but recoverable over a long slow slide into oblivion.





blue-wave

(4,624 posts)
23. This is one of my favorite
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 12:48 PM
Apr 9

movies of all time. I've watched it over and over again to catch every possible detail. You can learn a lot about our economic system while being entertained, a rarity for Hollywood. Everyone should heed the warnings and messages in "The Big Short." Protect yourself as much as possible.

Torchlight

(4,548 posts)
26. Pray away the Fail!
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:17 PM
Apr 9

As it has just as much effect on the taste of mustard as do any other opinions I hold.

bif

(25,203 posts)
28. Why TF would I root for the markets to fall?
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:20 PM
Apr 9

I've already lost over 10% of the money I have invested.

brush

(59,597 posts)
29. Forget about the market, trump's stupid tariff moves have just about...
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:25 PM
Apr 9

baked in a recession, if not even a depression. Most economist and business experts are saying it (see Jamie Diamond of Goldman Sachs today on FOX). You don't get a much more credible business name than that.

Scrivener7

(55,422 posts)
30. Nope. A short, deep disaster is our best hope. But he's going to drag it out till
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 03:30 PM
Apr 9

all the frogs are used to the boiling water.

doc03

(37,729 posts)
33. It does look like many are hoping for a recession. I think this tariffs thing is
Wed Apr 9, 2025, 04:49 PM
Apr 9

nothing but a pump and dump scyme. Meanwhile I haven't seen anything other than
from Malcolm Nance about the military build up for a war with Iran.

Happy Hoosier

(8,889 posts)
38. I get what you are saying....
Thu Apr 10, 2025, 09:16 AM
Apr 10

My retirement savins are done more than $100,000 from peaks. That sucks for me. That would REALLY suck for anyone who is retired and has exposure to the market.

BUT.

I think most of us think that the nly thing the MAGAts will understand is their own personal pain. They don;t have empathy. They don't have reason. The ONLY thing that will work is pain.

So many of us want them to actually feel the comnsequneces, and the sooner the better.

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