General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow can the complete destruction of the Gulf's oil and water infrastructure be avoided?
Negotiations are intractable.
If a hot war erupts again, Iran said it will hit those targets
If the blockade continues indefinitely (at the cost of the world economy), at some point Iran's cohesive existence will be untenable and the military will have nothing to lose, and will hit those targets.
It seems this is an insoluble situation.
Melon
(1,639 posts)Doesnt seem to be building any regional support. I would expect at some point Saudi Qatar and UAE to also use their military against Iran if the continue being attacked.
SamuelTheThird
(1,238 posts)Melon
(1,639 posts)Thats my point. If Iran does that the gloves are off from the neighbors. Iran has that exact same infrastructure.
SamuelTheThird
(1,238 posts)ie Compare how much water Saudi Arabia derives from desalinization versus Iran
EX500rider
(12,738 posts)Melon
(1,639 posts)Iran is in a far worse situation if their infrastructure were targeted.
SamuelTheThird
(1,238 posts)I think (correct me if I'm wrong) you're implying that Iran would not decimate the oil and desalinization infrastructure out of fear of something equivalent done to them. The evidence suggests this is woefully mistaken. Iran already made significant attacks against Gulf infrastructure*, and if they are cornered, their pride and religious apocalyptism will impell them to go full bore.
* https://www.france24.com/en/france-confirms-oil-crisis-says-30-40-gulf-energy-infrastructure-destroyed
Melon
(1,639 posts)I agree. They are religious apocalyptic crazies. Its been held over our heads for decades and the entire region. They are cornered. End it completely or we will be in the same spot 7 years from now. They are terrorizing that region and laying claim to international waters. They wont ever change unless forced.
SamuelTheThird
(1,238 posts)Be very specific, because what you're calling for is 100,000s of troops on Iranian soil and a worse situation than Iraq or Afghanistan for them.
More conventional bombing won't work
Maybe you want nukes used?
Melon
(1,639 posts)They need to be dealt with. I dont believe that is 100,000 troops on the ground. Like a man, they cant hold their breath forever. They have zero income and a populace that was rioting prior to the conflict. I was not calling for war, but if we are in it, then finish it. Dont leave the issue for the next president or further bolden them by capitulating that they have any right to the straights themselves.
SamuelTheThird
(1,238 posts)But regardless...as I pointed out, if Iran's military feel they are going to be eliminated/out of power they are likely to launch an all-out assault on the gulf's infrastructure. The impact of that would be unimaginable. And there's nothing the US can do about that.
How can they be dealt with, specifically? Bomb- doesn't work, Full on war- theyll launch against the gulf states, Economic strangulation- they'll attack the gulf states before they implode
efhmc
(16,922 posts)put it off a while? Thanks. I already paid a good size down payment.
leftstreet
(41,223 posts)Gaza
Lebanon
That'd be a nice start. Iran has made their demands pretty clear
EX500rider
(12,738 posts)Countries that aren't even allies with Israel?
Not sure that scares Israel too much.