The fossil fuels tipping point

[WSHazel]

I believe humanity is very close to peak oil and natural gas demand, if it has not crossed over already. Much of the projected future growth in demand anticipates significant population growth, which is not happening. We are scratching the surface with alternative heating and cooling, such as sand batteries and solar chimneys, that are a fraction the cost of fossil fuel produced alternatives and are commercially available today. Every EV reduces the demand for oil, permanently. Taken together, the alternative energy sources are game changers for climate change and the economy over the next few years.

The Republican Party views this as an existential threat because oil and gas is its single most important industry in terms of support. I believe increasing the price of oil was an objective of Trump’s in the Iran conflict, because $40/barrel oil would lay economic waste to the GOP’s most important constituency.

🎧 Kingsmill Bond's analysis of the current energy crisis was featured on The Rest Is Politics this week ⚡

Listen to the episode to see how renewable energy offers a more secure, affordable, local alternative to fossils ⬇️

podcasts.apple.com/g...

— Ember (@ember-energy.org) 2026-06-14T16:00:11.000Z

[markie]

1. should is a key word

we are fighting giants... everyday I am thankful for my EV, but I still wish we could get some of the even better ones produced in Europe and Asia

[WSHazel]

2. The U.S. is just one part of a global market

Demand for oil and natural gas in the rest of the OECD countries and China is peaking. The price of both is very likely to decline without some unusual event like a war. Supply for oil will come offline as the price drops, so the bottom won’t fall out of the market, but $40/barrel makes fracking uneconomical, and will be really bad for the U.S. oil industry because our costs are high.