President Biden is poised to win re-election in 2024, so what caused "The Scare"?

[lees1975]

https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/07/president-biden-is-poised-to-win-re.html

We are fighting not only media bias, but media competition for ratings with sensational headlines and attention-grabbing sound bytes. Since the debate, the effort that the Biden campaign has made to get control of the narrative, and push it forward has been remarkable. While some party leaders were expecting crushing news in poll numbers, the exact opposite has occurred. As of today, post-debate, post-Trump shooting, pre-GOP convention, 538 gives Biden a 53-47% chance to win 277 electoral votes. That's actually a 4% increase over a week ago, when it was 51-49.

There's no issue or character liability for either of the Democratic candidates and their positions on the issues are crystal clear, unlike the duplicitous Republicans, who are trying to hide an unpopular agenda. The job will be more one of motivating a segment of voters who are independent, moderate Republican, Green party and even a few libertarians, to cast votes for Biden instead of staying home. The age issue is the biggest liability he has now, and placing an emphasis on factually attacking the GOP and Trump and the danger that poses to Constitutional democracy is the other end of the message. I have every confidence that a seasoned politician like President Biden, who is far more popular personally than polling data shows, can do this with relative ease.

Democrats have President Biden, Vice-President Harris and a plan, Republicans have Trump, and now the flip flopping opportunistic J. D. Vance. They also have election officials in red states who will do their dead level best to cheat Joe, so there's more than just getting voters to the polls to be done.

[onecaliberal]

1. The Vice President's gender and skin color.

[lees1975]

2. Yes.

The other party is running a white supremacist racist, and a man who believes a woman's place is in the kitchen, not the board room or in politics.

That part of Project 2025 that calls for promoting gender roles of the traditional family, with them man working for a living and the woman staying at home raising the children, that ought to go over with women voters real well, huh?

[Qutzupalotl]

3. & the big donor class not wanting to be taxed more

to shore up Social Security. Bur it needs to be done. They will still be fine.

[lees1975]

4. Posting this here.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/