What are the chances of Debbie Mucarsel-Powell against Rick Scott?

[question everything]

I received a donation request.

[msongs]

1. have read that desantis won by 20%. maybe that was a fluke

[In It to Win It]

13. I think DeSantis likely would have won anyway. I think the 20 points was a fluke

Turnout, and especially Dem turnout, was abysmal in 2022. If I recall correctly, all statewide Republican candidates won by almost 20.

[Deuxcents]

2. I donated to her and marked my primary ballot n sent it in. We gotta vote Rick Scott out 🗳️

[question everything]

11. There are still primaries to determine the Democratic candidate?

[Deuxcents]

12. Our primary is August 20

My ballot was for Senator (Rick Scott is up for re election), judges n school board n commissioners.

[Lochloosa]

3. He's only won by 3% the last time he ran. She has my money.

He's not liked here and with abortion access and legislation of cannabis on the ticket, maybe.

[MaryMagdaline]

4. Same as always here. Everyone will attest how they hate Scott

and he will still win because he has an R by his name.
I’ve spoken to her when she was going direct fundraising - a lot of energy and smarts. She’s running a good campaign. She’s close in the polls.
Florida Dems have contested every seat at state and local levels for first time ever. It might make us over perform in the little towns.

She has a shot. But it’s Chinatown.

Add: Harris helps her big in Jax, Tampa, Tallahassee, Tampa , Broward, Miami.

[TwilightZone]

5. Probably not great.

Florida has moved further right. The GOP won 20 of the 28 House races in 2022 with a vote share 6% higher than 2020.

The total statewide vote in those races was 58.25%R / 39.63%D.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida

Everyone seems to hate Scott, so there is that. Excellent turnout for Harris would also help the odds.

[wordstroken]

6. I've been weighing the options against Scott.

Did a deep dive to research all four Dems on the ticket, and determined DMP has the best chance of beating him.
Mailed my ballot yesterday, and voted for her.

[rubbersole]

7. This state can be competitive. Desantis isn't popular.

tsf's followers aren't putting up signs like in the past. Nobody. Lot of young and SS recipients alike. Just sayin'.

[Rhiagel]

8. She should be running SS and Medicare Ads 24/7....

... detailing his plans to sunset those programs. Maybe the idiots in the Villages will wake up someday and realize that voting against your own self-interests is not wise.

[HAB911]

9. She gets my money......twice now!

[Timeflyer]

10. He's well-known as a Medicare fraudster, and doesn't like Social Security. If she has money to spread the news,

she stands a chance. Can't say how much, 'cause FL Dems are outnumbered, but we won't surrender.