Dem rout is on in MI

[Johnny2X2X]

https://www.woodtv.com/news/elections/poll-whitmer-nessel-benson-lead-over-republican-challengers/

And with abortion rights being on the ballot, these races are going to be blowouts.

[Meadowoak]

1. +1

[rogerballard]

2. Governor Gretchen Whitmer has my vote and donation

Tudor Dixon is nuts with zero experience.

[MiHale]

3. Tooter blows gas...

GO DEMS!

[2naSalit]

4. Good to hear!

People are starting to respond to the danger.

[DownriverDem]

5. MAGa repubs

have overreached and the voters know it.

[Kaleva]

6. I'm hoping Dems also gain control of at least 1 chamber in the legislature

[Johnny2X2X]

7. The State Senate is very possible

It's all a little hard to predict in MI right now. Redistricting adds some uncertainty, but the districts are in fact more fair. And Roe adds a lot of certainty, it will most certainly help Dems beat the polling, but will it be by 2-3 points or 7-10 points, who knows.

How will this play out in deep Red rural districts?

[Kaleva]

8. In deep red districts, the Rs will win but the proposals will also pass

IMHO

[Johnny2X2X]

9. Kansas

Kansas is deep red, the polling had their abortion ban passing by a couple points, it lost by 17 points. A 20 point flip. If that would have been in November, Democrats would have had wins in Kansas districts they were thought to be 15 point under dogs in.

So some of the crazy rural counties that trump carried like 75-20 in 2020 will probably stay red, but others that are like 60-40 GOP could be in play. I think on the 538 map of Congressional seats, if it's blue, light blue, or a toss up, it's going blue, period. If it's light red it's going blue or is a tossup, and I think a select few deep red districts will go blue too.