Jon Ralston's Early Voting Update 10/22/24

[RandySF]

Headline: Rurals matter.

Especially when they are turning out 3.5 points above their registration and producing landslide ballot wins (58-20) over the Ds. Consider that Other 22 percent will mostly go to Trump, too, and maybe we should be talking about the GOP firewall in the rurals this cycle. It’s up to 16,500 out of only 44,000 ballots cast -- and that's without allocating the indies......

Dems are only winning the urban Nevada ballot race by 1 percent – 38-37.

Repubs have a nearly 3 percent turnout advantage statewide. It’s 3.5 percent in Clark, less than a point in Washoe and Dems actually are turning out slightly more than Repubs in rural Nevada in percentage, but the reg is so overwhelming that it doesn’t help them.


https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024

[tishaLA]

1. Oy. And Ralston always has his finger on the NV pulse

Let's just hope our much-vaunted ground game is as strong as we've heard. We'll need every single vote in LV

[awesomerwb1]

2. Shocking. Bye bye Nevada

[kansasobama]

3. Looks like we are losing NV

It is all about PA, MI, and WI. GA is also slipping and NC is on the borderline.

Well, as long as Harris wins, I am good.