Susan Crawford's Chances of Winning Wisconsin Supreme Court Election: Polls

[Ellipsis]

Source: SoCal Strategies poll has her at 50 to 42. They're a newer polling company and was used by a right wing org at their conception... so as to their viability, who knows.


snip/

The most recent poll, by SoCal Strategies, conducted between March 25-26 among 500 registered and likely voters, gave Crawford a 50-42 lead over Schimel.

Crawford also had the lead among white voters, who make up 83 percent of Wisconsin's population, according to PRRI's 2023 American Values Atlas. Among the demographic, Crawford was leading Schimel with 49 percent to his 45 percent. According to the poll, 89 percent of Black voters also backed Crawford. No Black voters backed Schimel, while 11 percent said they were undecided.

https://www.newsweek.com/wisconsin-supreme-court-race-polls-susan-crawford-brad-schimel-2051318

[rurallib]

1. Wonder if Elon can steal this one?

[Ellipsis]

5. My gut says he won't get the swing voting independents.

Im my experience Wisconsinites don't like people sticking their nose so blatantly in their business.

But that's just me.

[rurallib]

6. I meant by changing the numbers on the tabulators

Do they have paper ballots to count in Wisconsin or do they just depend on the numbers the machines spit out?

[Ellipsis]

7. Ain't gonna happen.

[rurallib]

8. hope you are right - wish there was some way to block them

[Ellipsis]

10. Random 15% hand counted audits.

[rurallib]

11. Thanks!

[Abnredleg]

12. They do a handcount as part of the post election audit

Audit finds no election machine errors
March 7, 2025
Home » Press Releases » Wisconsin Elections Commission: Audit finds no election machine errors

MADISON, Wis. – The largest and most comprehensive post-election audit of voting equipment in Wisconsin history took place following the 2024 General Election. The hand count of the paper ballots audited found no errors that would be attributable to the electronic voting system. Consequently, Wisconsin Elections Commission (WEC) members, at their March 7 quarterly meeting, unanimously determined the error rate of the 2024 post-election voting equipment audit as 0.0%. Commissioners determined electronic voting equipment, utilized statewide, performed in accordance with certification standards and tabulated votes accurately.

A total of 327,230 ballots, approximately 10 % of all ballots cast statewide, were counted by hand during the 2024 post-election voting equipment audit. Audits are also conducted as a public meeting in each community selected. For context, 145,000 ballots were audited as part of the 2020 post-election audit and 222,075 were audited in 2022.

Local election officials have many responsibilities and, after having just administered a General Election, they were then required to immediately pivot to conduct these audits. “The municipal clerks, county clerks, election inspectors, and volunteers who completed these audits should be commended for their work and for their continued dedication to secure and accurate elections,” said WEC Administrator Meagan Wolfe.

Their audit summaries include a comparison between the total votes recorded by the voting equipment and the total votes hand counted on the paper ballots during the audit. WEC staff reviewed every submission and followed up for additional information when necessary. They found no election equipment changed votes from one candidate to another, incorrectly tabulated votes, or altered the outcome of any audited contest. Additionally, there was no evidence of programming errors, unauthorized alterations or hacking of voting equipment software, or malfunctions of voting equipment that altered the outcome of any races on the ballot.

https://www.wispolitics.com/2025/wisconsin-elections-commission-audit-finds-no-election-machine-errors/

[rurallib]

13. I sure appreciate your posting this.

Good to know that the home of Fightin' Bob LaFollette has this covered.

Thanks for taking the time on this question. I was somewhat in the dumps fearing that the Muskers could electronically steal the election.

Be sure to vote!

[Firestorm49]

2. We'll see. As much as I'm glad the poll shows her

In the lead, I’ve grown sceptical of polling in general. I voted for her and hope this poll is accurate.

[33taw]

3. Waukesha county has the lead in early votes, we need to make sure to GOTV.

Schimel is total slime.

[Ellipsis]

9. WPR agrees with you on the early "absentee" votes. Nearly 408K absentee ballots cast.

" Dane county AND Milwaukee County aren't far behind"

https://www.wpr.org/news/nearly-408k-absentee-ballots-cast-wisconsin-supreme-court-election

Nearly 408,000 people have already cast their ballots ahead of next week’s election, which includes the high-profile Wisconsin Supreme Court race. The number of people choosing early, in-person voting is nearly double what it was during the state’s last Supreme Court race — with Waukesha County currently leading Milwaukee and Dane counties in early votes.

As of Tuesday, clerks across Wisconsin had received about 140,000 more absentee ballots than they did ahead of the 2023 state Supreme Court election, according to data from the state’s elections commission. That works out to an increase of more than 52 percent year to year.
Notably, the number of people casting early, in-person absentee ballots has jumped by nearly 95 percent. The most recent data shows 200,202 people have voted early this year, compared to 102,894 at the same point two years ago.
The numbers show more people, particularly those in Republican-leaning counties, have been banking their votes ahead of election day. In-person, early voting continues through Sunday, and absentee ballots sent by mail will be counted through election day.

[bearsfootball516]

4. Dems recent performances in special elections have me optimistic about this race.

I think it ends up being a double digit win, but we'll see. I've been doing postcards to voters for this race.

[RandySF]

14. Firm used by Newsmax and others.