Hassan's margin of victory over Sununu in the 2022 NH US Senate Election.

[nkpolitics1212]

2016 NH US Senate Election.
Hassan-D defeated Ayotte-R by a .2 percent margin.
2016 US Presidential Election in NH.
Clinton-D won by a .37 percent margin.
2020 US Presidential Election.
Biden-D won by a 7.35 percent margin.
7 point swing toward the Democrats.
Hassan-D will defeat Sununu-R by a 7 percent margin.
Ayotte's 2010 US Senate Race had Ayotte-R winning by a 23.3 percent margin.
Sununu-R won the 2020 NH Governor's Race by a 31.7 percent margin.
Hassan-D is a much stronger candidate than Feltes-D(Sununu's 2020 Democratic opponent.)

[NH Ethylene]

1. Those who voted for Biden won't automatically be voting for Hassan.

Some Biden voters took the obvious step to get the crazy guy out of the White House. But they may well vote Republican in any given Senate race. In addition, Sununu is an old and powerful name in NH.