Which Democratic US Senator is more vulnerable in 2024? Tester(D-MT) or Brown(D-OH)?
In 2024, The most vulnerable Democratic held US Senate seat up for re-election is WV(Manchin-D). After WV(Manchin-D) it will be either MT(Tester-D) or OH(Brown-D).
Tester(D-MT) is more vulnerable due to the fact that MT is more Republican and Tester-D won by a narrower margin.
Sinema(D-AZ) is more vulnerable in a Democratic primary challenge to
Gallego-D the US Representative and/or the Phoenix Mayor
Stanton-D the US Representative and former Phoenix Mayor
Hobbs-D the former AZ Secretary of State if she is not AZ Governor.
Romero-D the Tucson Mayor.
The Democratic nominee from AZ will benefit from Biden’s coattails.
Democrats will hold onto MI(Stabenow-D),NV(Rosen-D),PA(Casey-D), and WI(Baldwin-D).
The most Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2024 is
FL(Scott-R) and/or TX(Cruz-R).
Democrats need a net gain of 3 US Senate seats in 2022 to remain in the majority in 2024.
2022-
Hold onto GA(Warnock-D) and NH(Hassan-D vs Sununu-R)
Gain-PA(Fetterman-D),WI(Barnes-D),and NC(Beasley-D or Jackson-D)