The likely number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 51

[nkpolitics1212]

Sacrificial lamb R challengers in strong Biden-D states.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D,Welch-D, or Donovan-D) Donovan is a 3 term state Attorney General of VT who won all 3 of his elections with over 60 percent of the popular vote and is much younger than Leahy and Welch.
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
Weak Biden states with generic Republican challengers.
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D) vs Laxalt-R
48)AZ(Kelly-D) vs Brnovich-R.
49)PA(Fetterman-D) vs Parnell-R.
Statistical tie favoring Democrats.
50)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R.
51)GA(Warnock-D) vs Walker-R in the 12/2022 general election runoff.