Democrats guide to getting 60 US Senate seats in 2020.

[nkpolitics1212]

36)RI(Reed-D)
37)MA(Markey-D)
38)OR(Merkley-D)
39)IL(Durbin-D)
40)DE(Coons-D)
41)NJ(Booker-D)
42)VA(Warner-D)
43)NH(Shaheen-D)
44)NM(Lujan-D)
45)MN(Smith-D)
46)MI(Peters-D)
47)AZ special(Kelly-D)
48)CO(Hickenlooper-D)
49)ME(Gideon-D)
50)NC(Cunningham-D)
51)IA(Greenfield-D)
52)MT(Bullock-D)
53)AK(Gross-I/D)
54)GA regular(Ossoff-D)
55)KS(Bollier-D)
56)KY(McGrath-D)
57)MS(Espy-D)
58)SC(Harrison-D)
59)TX(Hegar-D)
60)AL(Jones-D),GA special(Warnock-D or Lieberman-D whoever makes it in the runoff.),WV(Swearingen-D).

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

1. For what it's worth, NM is not going to be a gain, but be a hold.

This state is very blue, and I can't even think of the name of the Republican who is running against Lujan. Not that I'm much of a fan of his, but I'll take a crappy Democrat over some random Republican any day of the week.

Kentucky is going to be problematical. From what I gather, the polling is all over the place, and McConnell is apparently very popular. Plus, it's a very Republican state, from what I understand.

I cannot say anything sensible about any of the other states.

[lastlib]

3. 36-46 are the seats we already hold, and expect to keep.

47 on are seats we'd need to win to take the Senate, to 60. The ones after 52 are not sure wins for us. I don't know where this projection is coming from, despite asking multiple times with no response, so it's hard to tell how reliable it is. It jibes some with things I've read, but I have to take it with a grain of salt until I know its origin; would suggest others do same.

[nycbos]

2. WV is a fantasy not going to happen.

Ditto KY and MS and AL

AK and TX are a stretch but are still possible

MT looks like it is slipping away but it is still worth going all in.