Economy
Related: About this forumWhile London Rues Brexit, Paris Says 'Merci'
(Bloomberg) When the UK left the European Union in January 2020, it marked the occasion with a commemorative 50 pence coin and a Whitehall light show. The mood today is closer to funereal than celebratory. A regretful population is mainly seeing worse inflation, declining public services and a potential recession none of which was promoted on the side of the campaign bus. London Mayor Sadiq Khan is among the few politicians to break the vow of silence and say Brexit isnt working; the Bank of England also sounds gloomy.
The rest of Europe is no economic picnic either, of course. Yet Brexits anniversary feels rather different from the continent, where some gains are being eked out to offset the pain of losing a big chunk of EU economic, trade and military clout. Just a few days after Khans warning that the City of London was being hit by a loss of trade and talent because of Brexit, London-based hedge fund Chenavari founded by a French banker cut the ribbon on its new Paris offices.
Speaking from those new digs close to the Arc de Triomphe, Chenavaris Paris head Stéphane Parlebas tells me this expansion is not down to the whip-cracking of regulators. Brexit and Covid have made it more attractive to be closer to local institutional investors, he says. And UK political messes like the Trussonomics budget debacle, which ushered in the countrys fifth prime minister in six years, havent helped. The market reaction showed the UKs error was imagining that Brexit could unleash a European `tiger, he says, echoing the economic growth miracles associated with globalization in Asia or Ireland.
The leaking of jobs and talent from London is picking up pace, in other words. Data for 2021 from the European Banking Authority shows a jump in the number of top-paid finance pros in the EU, part of over 7,000 post-Brexit job moves tracked by EY. In Germany, where JPMorgan Chase & Co. is planning a new digital bank, more top bankers have been added in six years than in the UK. Crucially, non-banking activities are also following suit: Millennium Management and Citadel LP are among hedge funds expanding in Paris. The end of free movement has kept more young talented workers on the continent, while new research estimates it has led to a net loss of 330,000 workers in the UK as of September. .............................(more)
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-02-03/while-london-rues-brexit-paris-says-merci?srnd=premium&leadSource=uverify%20wall
Joinfortmill
(16,583 posts)appalachiablue
(42,995 posts)slightlv
(4,404 posts)and we may yet see it if the Repubs aren't put down in a big way. Reagan and Thatcher started this together... each in their own country. The Thatcherites just entrenched and never let up. At was austerity at any cost. Add Brexit to the already dire austerity their public services were experiencing, and you get where they're at now.
If we hadn't kept the worst of Repubs at bay for as long as we did, and continually recovering from the financial messes they made when they did get into office, we'd have been ripe for being right on par with London. Our "Brexit" was the enormous tax breaks given during Trump's time in office. In four years, he managed to do what it nearly took all of our history to complete. We were (and are) so ready to go down the same road if we let Repubs get their way again. We only have so much elasticity and flexibility left in our system. It won't take much to push it over the edge. And of course, this is what the Repugs want and are banking on happening. Our hit from Russia is decades old, as are the traitors to this country.