Recession odds are rising

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1. From what I'm seeing, we're already in a contraction, as of mid-to-late February.

It's possible q1 will coming barely positive overall on the relative strength of January's growth, but things turned in February, and March was almost surely negative.

Then it becomes more a matter of exactly how one defines "recession". Terminology aside, I don't see Donnie doing anything to help, in fact it sounds like he's escalating his tariff idiocy.

Do I don't see how q2 gets any better.