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Celerity

(53,870 posts)
2. They will need 7 Dem caucus members to defect in order to get it passed (IF all Rethugs vote Yea)
Sun Jan 25, 2026, 08:59 AM
8 hrs ago

Last edited Sun Jan 25, 2026, 09:52 AM - Edit history (1)

This is a list of the 19 most centrist Dem caucus Senators (plus Schumer, for a total of 20), many of whom have cast bad votes in the past. Many of those (and it is a BFD) have already said they will not defect and instead vote No (they are strike-throughed). My strikethroughs may be missing some, btw.

I simply do not see 7 Yea votes, and there are only 8 who have not said they are No.

If Bennet and Schiff vote No, getting to 7 is then impossible, even if Fetterman, Shaheen, Hassan, Peters, Gillibrand, and Coons (the other 6 of the 8 unkowns) cave-in and vote Yea.

John Fetterman The likely defection IMHO atm.

Jeanne Shaheen (key, if she says No, along with Hassan, it's very, VERY unlikey they get to 7)

Maggie Hassan (key, see Shaheen)

Jacky Rosen (a big No)

Catherine Cortez Masto (a big No)

Gary Peters (key, see above)

Angus King (a big No)

Elissa Slotkin (a big No)

Ruben Gallego (a big No)

Kirsten Gillibrand

Tim Kaine (he was one of the 8 cave-ins last shutdown)

Chuck Schumer (Durbin, who is not a centrist normally, fell on his sword for Schumer and was one of the 8 Dem cave-ins during the last shutdown)

John Hickenlooper (a big No)

Chris Coons (possible defection, he said he is 'conflicted')

Brian Schatz (he was one of the 8 cave-ins last shutdown)

Mark Kelly (a big No)

Adam Schiff

Michael Bennet

Peter Welch

Mark Warner (a big No)

Recommendations

6 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

I assume Fetterman will defect SocialDemocrat61 9 hrs ago #1
They will need 7 Dem caucus members to defect in order to get it passed (IF all Rethugs vote Yea) Celerity 8 hrs ago #2
Thanks SocialDemocrat61 8 hrs ago #3
yw Celerity 7 hrs ago #4
That's a good list. Thank you. Quiet Em 6 hrs ago #6
Thanks for all this work! mysteryowl 6 hrs ago #9
Schiff is a no Sympthsical 6 hrs ago #15
thanks for the update, so it is down to any one of the 7 possibles who are unkown (Fetty is very like a Yea) Celerity 4 hrs ago #18
Fetterman needs a talking to. mysteryowl 6 hrs ago #7
Maybe Rebl2 6 hrs ago #10
Well, I think something stronger such as removal from any committees he might be on. mysteryowl 6 hrs ago #12
Oh I Rebl2 6 hrs ago #14
Yes, he failed his constituents. mysteryowl 5 hrs ago #17
He already has: MarineCombatEngineer 6 hrs ago #8
thanks for posting bigtree 6 hrs ago #5
YW mysteryowl 6 hrs ago #11
Unfortunately, I don't think that this really stops any funding to them. I hope action can happen, but can it? Jbraybarten 6 hrs ago #13
that's correct bigtree 5 hrs ago #16
I'll believe it when I see it. n/t indusurb 4 hrs ago #19
That would also mean Greg_In_SF 4 hrs ago #20
Republicans need to get serious and fix this legislation and put a stop to this deadly crisis of their party's own doing Quiet Em 2 hrs ago #21
they are already accessing funding for DHS through the money in P.L. 119-21 bigtree 2 hrs ago #22
I'll believe it when I see it EnergizedLib 2 hrs ago #23
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