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Dave says

(5,379 posts)

15. "Eliminate" in 18 months is too strong a word

Reply to Zorro (Reply #10)

Thu Feb 26, 2026, 11:20 PM

Thursday

Yes, most of IT is doomed, but it will take longer for AI to clear out the marketing department, legal, our doctors (will not happen), and so on. It would be very optimistic to say 3-5 years, more like a decade before AI has run its course and displaced millions.

What to tell our children? What to study? How to earn a living? My p(doom) runs about 50%.

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Highlight:

Andrew Yang claims AI will cause 'jobpocalypse' among white collar workers within the next 18 months [View all] dalton99a Thursday OP

IMHO, no it won't. It's too early in the product cycle to really have that kind of impact on things. New tech takes SWBTATTReg Thursday #1

Infrastructure? It's all cloud "data lakes" and services now Tim S Thursday #5

I too, was in IT for several decades, lucky to have gotten out in time to grab my pension too, as well as be on the side SWBTATTReg 21 hrs ago #23

Thanks to "the cloud", many white collar jobs consist of picking the right choices from menus Tim S 20 hrs ago #27

I beg to disagree. Most experts in the field are agreeing on this 18 month period. Ferrets are Cool Thursday #7

Not really. It's more advanced than you think. Blue Full Moon Yesterday #20

Ipad was intro'd in 2010. A decade earlier would have been 2000 TheProle 21 hrs ago #26

No Greg_In_SF Thursday #2

Tell that to the 4000 that were just terminated from Block. Ferrets are Cool Thursday #9

Next up, the termination of Block itself. hunter Thursday #18

Insightful Torchlight 21 hrs ago #25

I know he's kind of a kook but he's not the only one saying this LearnedHand Thursday #3

Your 15 minutes were up long ago. Andrew DBoon Thursday #4

How's Yang's third party going? SocialDemocrat61 Thursday #6

Not a new prediction, this has been a 30 year trainwreck in progress...So, what is his solution? haele Thursday #8

Sam Altman was profiled by the New Yorker 10 years ago, and besides revealing that he's a prepper, highplainsdem Yesterday #19

AI will eliminate white collar jobs. Automation/robotics will eliminate blue collar jobs. Zorro Thursday #10

"Eliminate" in 18 months is too strong a word Dave says Thursday #15

Yeah... 2naSalit Thursday #11

Robotics will ride in with the AI race horse Dave says Thursday #16

Blue collar and retirees aren't safe either gulliver Thursday #12

What's automation in that context? EdmondDantes_ Thursday #13

It needs to be defined in law and regulation gulliver Thursday #17

AI actually does a terribe job, making lots of errors that the reduced human staff has to catch, leading highplainsdem Thursday #14

AI is only as good as the information it has and the prompts it receives Buckeyeblue Yesterday #21

Apparently Yang is desperate to see his name in print again. Doesn't like being irrelevant. onenote Yesterday #22

It's a longer time frame. Johnny2X2X 21 hrs ago #24

It happened to white collar workers in the 90s, office workers after that bucolic_frolic 20 hrs ago #28