Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom)

[Polybius]

Atlas Intel Poll

Republican Primary: Rubio 45, Vance 30, DeSantis 11, Trump Jr. 0

Democratic Primary: Ocasio-Cortez 26, Buttigieg 22, Newsom 21, Harris 13, Shapiro 2

Quite surprising on both ends. I didn't think that Vance would fall to second, although Rubio is a skilled politician in his own way. And Harris in 4th place? Quite odd, she's 1st in most polls.

Here's their Generic Congressional poll results:

Democrats 55, Republicans 40

Whoa, a 15 point lead! That's far bigger than any other poll, where we are usually in the lead by like 5 points or so. 15 would be enough to win 40-60 seats!

Now, before anyone dismisses Atlas Intel, here were some of their swing state (along with Texas and the popular vote) predictions in 2024:

Trump +1 in Wisconsin
Trump +1 in Pennsylvania
Trump +2 in North Carolina
Trump +3 in Nevada
Trump +5 in Arizona
Trump +11 in Texas
Harris +5 in Viriginia
Trump +1 in Popular Vote