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Polybius

(22,110 posts)

4. It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them

Reply to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #2)

Sat May 16, 2026, 12:09 PM

22 hrs ago

Remember what names I was called for saying Harris could potentially lose the election? In reality, their numbers were spot-on. They were highly accurate in 2020, 2022, and 2024. I'll be watching them heavily in 2026. Here's an interesting thread on Reddit about them, right after the election in 2024.

https://www.reddit.com/r/fivethirtyeight/comments/1gl0fq7/atlas_intel_absolutely_nailed_it/

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EX500rider

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Highlight:

Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom) [View all] Polybius 22 hrs ago OP

AOC being President would be a dream come true for me mvd 22 hrs ago #1

AOC being the Dem nominee would result in a nightmare for all of us. RandomNumbers 22 hrs ago #5

Well, it's a ways away. I'll give her a chance mvd 21 hrs ago #6

Thank you for the reality check. yellow dahlia 20 hrs ago #10

While encouraging, it should be noted that Atlas is a highly biased RW pollster Fiendish Thingy 22 hrs ago #2

They were the most accurate polling organization in each of the last two presidential elections BeyondGeography 22 hrs ago #3

It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them Polybius 22 hrs ago #4

IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans Fiendish Thingy 21 hrs ago #8

I really hate "polls." gulliver 21 hrs ago #7

The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition Midwestern Democrat 21 hrs ago #9

Agreed. My top contenders are Mark Kelly and Chris Murphy. yellow dahlia 20 hrs ago #11

These numbers are kind of amusing fujiyamasan 20 hrs ago #12