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fujiyamasan

(2,023 posts)

12. These numbers are kind of amusing

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Sat May 16, 2026, 01:41 PM

Saturday

On the democratic side, it’s just name recognition and nothing else driving it. We won’t see anything realistic until after the midterms when it becomes clear who’s running. It’ll be a very wide and open race. I don’t think the party is as suicidal as to nominate AOC for president.

I want someone proven to have won a statewide race. That excludes a former small town mayor and a rep from one of the bluest district in the country.

Rubio overtaking Vance isn’t surprising to me imo. He’s now their golden boy. I also agree he’s more politically skilled and talented than Vance who comes off as a total creep.

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Highlight:

Interesting poll on potential 2028 candidates (Vance loses his lead to Rubio, AOC ahead of Harris and Newsom) [View all] Polybius Saturday OP

AOC being President would be a dream come true for me mvd Saturday #1

AOC being the Dem nominee would result in a nightmare for all of us. RandomNumbers Saturday #5

Well, it's a ways away. I'll give her a chance mvd Saturday #6

Thank you for the reality check. yellow dahlia Saturday #10

While encouraging, it should be noted that Atlas is a highly biased RW pollster Fiendish Thingy Saturday #2

They were the most accurate polling organization in each of the last two presidential elections BeyondGeography Saturday #3

It was called biased because certain people here didn't like their poll numbers, and laughed at them Polybius Saturday #4

IIRC, Atlas significantly and consistently over samples Republicans Fiendish Thingy Saturday #8

"Who knew in 2024 that 9 million fewer voters" Polybius Yesterday #13

What does your crystal ball say about turnout in 2026 vs 2022? Nt Fiendish Thingy Yesterday #14

My guess is probably better than 2022, because Trump is so hated Polybius 23 hrs ago #16

I really hate "polls." gulliver Saturday #7

The Republican side looks realistic (Rubio vs Vance), but the Democratic side is just early name recognition Midwestern Democrat Saturday #9

Agreed. My top contenders are Mark Kelly and Chris Murphy. yellow dahlia Saturday #11

These numbers are kind of amusing fujiyamasan Saturday #12

It is a massive outlier: Celerity Yesterday #15