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lees1975

(6,029 posts)
5. Yeah, after the Labour victory in the UK, and the far left coalition with the moderates in France won big
Thu Jul 18, 2024, 10:54 AM
Jul 2024

and the polls in both countries were in a shambles, I wondered the same thing.

Give credit where credit is due, the largest polling outlet in the UK did project favorable odds for the Labour party and saw this coming. They missed the full scope of the victory outside of their margin of error, but of course, the British have seen this coming since right after the last elections. I did too, I watch CSPAN and see the Prime Minister's questions.

In France, while the deals made to keep LePen out were done late, their polls missed their guess.

One of the things you gotta love about pollsters is their after the fact apologetic that always comes when they miss it. Some of the best ones I've ever read, in some of the most creative, convoluted, technical terminology come from two of our own composites, Real Clear Politics, RCP, and Born to Run the Numbers. Some college grad English major with a thesaurus and a dictionary must write for both of them.

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