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modrepub

(3,635 posts)
3. What To Think
Mon Mar 7, 2022, 01:02 PM
Mar 2022

Having seen a lot of "moderate" democratic politicians attempt to win state-wide office, I'd say there's no guarantee that someone like Lamb would be a sure thing. I don't know how the Rural "T" in this state will respond to another suit and tie Democrat, but I'd imagine it wouldn't be someone they'd run to and bear hug.

Fetterman, seems more of a regular type guy to me regardless of his "progressive" stances. Coming from a rust-belt town with a working person mentality (and a wife who works also) I see someone who is far more relatable to most of the folks in the forgotten parts of PA. I think just his appearance and how he communicates will do a lot to soften the rout Dems will inevitably suffer in the more rural parts of Pennsylvaina.

What will be really telling is how folks in the SE parts of the Commonwealth and the Lehigh Valley vote in the primary. There's also a chance that these 2 spit the Democratic vote in the west leaving Kenyatta with a plurality carrying the Phila Democratic vote.

A Democratic win is possible in November, but I suspect this will be close. I cringe knowing that PA is notorious for low primary turnout; about a third of registered voters can't vote in our closed primary. That always throws a monkey wrench into the general election. But on the other hand, low turnout on the Republican side is apt to have them pick a real outlier fringe type person.

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