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In reply to the discussion: Any theories as to how long May can delay a new election? [View all]Denzil_DC
(8,011 posts)this is why I'm not in a hurry for a snap election at the moment, despite the urgency I mentioned.
I brought Brexit up in your thread about "how long May can delay an election" because it's inevitably going to be a key battleground if and when any election before final Brexit is called.
Labour needs time to get its act together, if it can, and the electorate evidently need time to get even more fed up with the Tories and their shenanigans.
To add to the complications, I suspect if an election's called, it won't be with May as party leader.
The losses of MPs in the last one hurt. The prospect of more losses means the Tories are going to want a more effective leader to fight it (Christmas is coming, and given the unpredictable results last time, many of their MPs are going to be worried they're the turkeys who'll get stuffed), and one who's not apparently agoraphobic (I genuinely suspect May has that sort of problem, and I'm not trying to trivialize it) and unable to participate in debates, respond on the hoof with more than robotic soundbites or interact in a human way with voters.
This all leaves aside the issue of financing the election. I imagine if UK Labour's membership's held up, it's not too badly placed (it'll have to bail out Scottish Labour, as ever), but the SNP, for instance, will probably struggle after the succession of elections it's had to fight over the last couple of years (that may not bother you, but the SNP can win in seats where Labour's got no chance, potentially keeping Tories out; the Tories have plummeted in the polls up here since the last election), and the Tories and allies have always been better at channelling dark money.