2024 US Senate Election Prediction. Democrats trade WV and MT for TX.

[nkpolitics1212]

WV is a solid Republican state. Trump carried WV by a 39 percent margin in 2020 and 42 percent margin in 2016. Republicans have plenty of top tier candidates(Jim Justice,Alex Mooney,Patrick Morrisey,or Mac Warner.)
MT is a likely Republican state. Trump carried MT by a 16 percent margin in 2020 and 20 percent in 2016. Republicans have plenty of top tier candidates(Ryan Zinke or Matt Rosendale)
Manchin-WV and Tester-MT are in states that are too Republican for them to win.
TX is a lean Republican state. Trump carried TX by a 6 percent margin in 2020 and 9 percent in 2016. TX is becoming less Republican than OH. Democrats have plenty of top tier candidates to give Cruz a race of his life.(Scott Kelly-D or Julian Castro-D) I picked Scott Kelly and Julian Castro because neither of them currently occupy any elected office like Joaquin Castro and Colin Allred whom are both currently serving in the US House.
Democrats will hold onto
OH(Brown-D)
AZ(Sinema-D or Gallego-D)
MI(Stabenow-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
DE(Carper-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
MA(Warren-D)
CA(Schiff-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MD(Cardin-D)
VT(Sanders-I)
HI(Hirono-D)

The must win states for Democrats is OH and TX. Both of these states are weak Republican seats unlike WV and MT.

Red state Democratic held US Senate seat.
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)
WV(Manchin-D)