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LonePirate

(13,939 posts)
2. I think the comparison needs to be against 2018 and not 2020.
Sat Oct 9, 2021, 11:50 PM
Oct 2021

Repubs reaped a windfall in 2020 in suburban seats due to the massively increased turnout of the racist base for TFG. He's not on the ballot in 2022 so turnout will more closely resemble 2018 than 2020. That favors Dems but redistricting across the land changes things considerably. I don't think the final result will be as close as the 2020 House results; but it is far too early to say with any certainty.

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