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peppertree

(22,850 posts)
2. Like Jeb, she was the establishment choice - but has low energy and is linked to an unpopular former President
Mon Oct 23, 2023, 12:03 PM
Oct 2023

As far as where her voters go, that's a good question Judi. I'd say that's the million-peso question.

Remains to be seen - but my guess is at least half will vote for Milei, with whom they have much more in common ideologically (currency deregulation, dictatorship nostalgia, the bigotry, etc.).

Milei and his surrogates are already openly courting Bullrich voters - but we'll see how effective that actually is.

Most Bullrich voters hate Cristina Kirchner, but not Massa - whom they merely disdain (similar to the Hillary '16 vs. Biden '20 dynamic). And many fear that a Milei regime could destroy the little stability the country has left.

Some Bullrich surrogates are already calling for a blank vote in the runoff. Macri himself is all for endorsing Milei, however (they agree on almost everything, after all) - so we'll see what Bullrich does.

In the meantime, the Senate and the House have already been decided - and it'll be split, with a RW advantage in the House.

If Massa wins, there won't be much he can get passed - even budgets (luckily, they have CRs in Argentina like we do). Reaching across the aisle will be key.

Thanks as always for your time and thoughts, Judi. Have a pleasant week.

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