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Warpy

(113,131 posts)
2. Redfield has solid medical credentials, but he's a religious nut given to wishful thinking
Thu Dec 3, 2020, 12:33 AM
Dec 2020

The pattern of previous epidemics, most notably the 1918 flu pandemic, is a peak in October-December, then a gradual drop in cases. That one came in three waves, the second in the fall of 1918 being the most deadly.

I'm seeing daily cases as well as transmission rates dropping quite a bit in the hardest hit states, including my own.

Redfield will likely be out of a job, so he's anticipating having the worst hung around the neck of his successor. This time last year, he was thinking it would be like SARSCov-1 and be gone by April. Instead, it seems to be using the 1918 playbook.

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