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NNadir

(34,755 posts)
6. At the current rate, I'm expecting 2024 to reach between 427 and 428, possibly beyond, in May-June.
Fri Oct 27, 2023, 03:26 PM
Oct 2023

A peak to peak change of "just" around 3.00 ppm, as we saw from 2022 to 2023, would put us at around 427.6 ppm.

The accumulation rate is clearly accelerating, as is the rate of consumption of dangerous fossil fuels.

The latest soothsaying from the IEA says that the use of dangerous fossil fuels will peak "by 2030." As usual, this is delusional bullshit, but even were it true, it would still be half a century too late, and if it falls from a 2030 peak to what we've seen in 2022 and 2023, it would still be an unconscionable disaster.

I don't have access to the 2023 WEO yet, although it's been released, but should do so soon, in which the buried numbers in units of energy, Exajoules, will cut through all the crap by which capacity, GW, is represented without respect to reliability, capacity utilization.

One doesn't need to see those numbers to see that they will be ugly, since the CO2 numbers don't lie.

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