2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Are we tilting at windmills re: national gun laws? [View all]benEzra
(12,148 posts)Bill Clinton was swayed in 1994 into signing non-sensible gun control (some petty restrictions on rifle stock shape, and raising the price of handgun magazines and a few rifle mags, all aimed squarely at responsible owners). He himself admitted that that mistake cost him the House and Senate that November. It ultimately cost the whole trifecta when Gore lost TN and WV (among others) on guns in 2000; misunderstanding the issue also hurt John Kerry badly in 2004.
Obama largely defused the issue in 2008 by stating that he couldn't ban "assault weapons" even if he wanted to, and implied he didn't care to try. It wasn't until after the 2012 election that the Third Way wing of the party went after gun owners hard, which backfired again in 2014 and 2016.
Proposing to ban popular guns and magazines may play fine in places where gun ownership is well below average, but it plays horribly in flyover country. I live in NC; we just elected a pro-gun Dem as governor, even as Hillary just lost this state on an anti-gun-owner message.