QUESTIONING THE NUMBERS IN WISCONSIN - Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D.

[ffr]

1. Diving into the numbers

Jump to PDF page 5 and page 5 conclusion (see second <snip> below). However, temper your enthusiasm by my comment at the bottom.

Overview 11/27/16

Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin by 27,159 votes, or 0.885% of 3,068,434 ballots cast, according to unofficial results. The count was 1,410,027 for Trump, 1,382,868 for Clinton. (The "unofficial results" generally do not include absentee
and provisional ballots; after these are counted, the "official results" are certified).

Compared to the 2012 presidential election, the Democratic presidential candidate lost ground in all but 4 of 72 counties: Dane, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha.

Statewide, Clinton in 2016 got 238,117 fewer votes than Obama in 2012, a loss of 14.69%. Trump got 2,061 more votes than Romney, a gain of 0.15%. The Democratic vote was down by 20% in 46 of 72 counties.
<snip>

It is said that Trump was elected because he was better able to turn out his supporters than was Hillary Clinton. The Republican base as more enthusiastic about Trump than for McCain or Romney, all across rural America, and the Democratic base was less enthusiastic about Clinton than for Obama, especially in urban black neighborhoods.

Wisconsin is as good a place as any to test this hypothesis.
<snip>

Achieving 95% turnout is almost impossible. If more than 5% of the registered voters have died or moved away since the last purging of the voter rolls, 95% turnout is mathematically impossible to achieve. Even with election day registration, there would have to be about as many first-time voters as the number that fail to show up at the polls.
<snip>

Achieving 90% turnout is highly unlikely. It would require near-record participation on both sides, not one, and that is simply not the narrative we are hearing. Either these voter turnout percentages, consistently very high, all across the state, are an historic achievement, unparalleled in my experience, or the numbers are not true and correct. We need to find out. Luckily, Wisconsin is a paper ballot state. - PDF by Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D. - Source link Veterans Today

I cannot comment on Wisconsin voter turnout, but to use Nevada's 2012 to 2016 vote results as an indicator, HRC did lose the rural vote more so than PBO and by outrageous margins...and Donald's numbers did outperform Romney's. However, voter turnout in rural counties ranged between 66% - 93% and 76% statewide overall. http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4567

Statewide HRC received more votes than did PBO (2012 v 2016), but then so too did Trump compared to Romney. She got about 9,000 more votes, while Donald got about 49,000 more votes than their predecessors respectively.

IMO, the question becomes did HRC actually get a huge drop in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, traditionally blue states. And if so, why didn't those lower Dem turnouts appear in Nevada? After all, Donald's team was campaigning in Nevada, home of Cliven Bundy, as hard here as any other state. Did he campaign that much more in those other states and those other states' rural voters are more Bundy-like than the official Bundy state's rural voters? Or are Mr. Phillips' conclusions point to what will eventually prove to be some form of election fraud?