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2016 Postmortem

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portlander23

(2,078 posts)
Mon Dec 5, 2016, 02:36 PM Dec 2016

Donald Trump Did Really Well With Union Households. Thats A Bad Sign For Unions. [View all]

It Looks Like Donald Trump Did Really Well With Union Households. That’s A Bad Sign For Unions.
Dave Jamieson
Huffington Post

Back in January, the labor group Working America raised an alarm for Democrats: Their canvassing near Pittsburgh and Cleveland suggested Donald Trump had undeniable appeal in areas with high union membership. His outsider message, built on assailing trade deals such as NAFTA, was resonating with white folks with union cards who might normally vote Democratic.

Caveat: There are no completely reliable data on the votes of union members specifically. But Tuesday’s exit polling, which deserves a grain of salt, suggests that Hillary Clinton did worse among union households than the Democratic candidate has done in recent elections. (”Union household” is different from union member ― the designation includes not only union members but voters who live with one.)

The national exit polls gave Clinton an 8-point advantage in union households. She did better in some states: In Michigan, Clinton had a 16-point margin among union households.

But those would still be weak performances compared with other recent candidates. Exit polls from 2012 showed Obama taking union households by 18 points.



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