Democratic Primaries

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

34. I can't believe anyone pays attention to Rachel Bitecofer

Sun Mar 8, 2020, 07:42 PM

Mar 2020

I'll offer a review: Anyone who focuses on turnout as opposed to preference is a world class idiot

It is more than hilarious that a Sanders campaign that tried to pretend late swing voters did not exist was instead buried by a wave of late swing voters.

In the 28 years I have wagered on politics Rachel Bitecofer stands alone as a simpleton who somehow earned far more credit than she ever deserved.

As soon as I saw Nate Silver posting as Poblano on progressive sites in spring 2008 I knew within a week or so that his math and grasp of applicable variables was far beyond mine, even though mine is plenty good enough and wipes out the betting lines. Rachel Bitecofer is exactly the opposite. Nothing is substantive, Nothing has any historical relevance. Nothing has any grasp of situational variance from cycle to cycle.

Bitecofer picked the out party to win big in a midterm with the president at 40% approval rating. Wow, that is so incredible. Next thing you know she'll be picking Katie Ledecky in the 800 and 1500 freestyle.

Now Bitecofer is stupidly exaggerating the impact of a vice president. I'm not surprised but at least it allows another reason to laugh at her.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

78 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Bitecofer: It would behoove the @TheDemocrats to pressure @JoeBiden heavily on his VP pick [View all] flamingdem Mar 2020 OP

I agree.. and I hope Symone is telling him that.. & I'm thinking Joe knows.. Cha Mar 2020 #1

Oh yes PatSeg Mar 2020 #4

Joe knows his elections.. he was on two Winning ones with Cha Mar 2020 #5

There are few people with the experience he has had PatSeg Mar 2020 #6

So much so! TY, Pat! Cha Mar 2020 #8

I definitely don't think Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #2

Amy Klobuchar would clean Pence's clock in a debate. lamp_shade Mar 2020 #3

Pretty sure BidenBacker Mar 2020 #11

So could Kamala or Stacey, but it sure is not about picking a VP to clean Pence's clock, it's about OnDoutside Mar 2020 #16

Stacey Abrams had 42% of Georgians saying she was too liberal for the state Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #35

Valid points flamingdem Mar 2020 #45

Abrams is a standard center-left Dem radius777 Mar 2020 #69

I hope you're not a political analyst. The last thing we need is two white moderates on the ticket. LonePirate Mar 2020 #28

That's a major link pasting fail, I just have to say ... mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #7

I know!! How can I copy from Twitter without flamingdem Mar 2020 #46

Thanks. Interesting. elleng Mar 2020 #9

Abrams, Harris, Cortez Masto or Demings. brush Mar 2020 #10

Correct Zeus69 Mar 2020 #12

"Pressure?" Let's accomplish something by consensus lees1975 Mar 2020 #13

Biden said he would pick a WoC radius777 Mar 2020 #14

Agree!!! Picking Amy over qualified woman of color not a good look SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #19

I disagree. White women have been excluded from the Pres spooky3 Mar 2020 #26

White women voted for Trump. SharonClark Mar 2020 #36

That is a myth. See the Pew Research study that spooky3 Mar 2020 #40

Even the study says WW voted for Trump 47% - 45%. former9thward Mar 2020 #59

The article explains clearly how the shortcomings spooky3 Mar 2020 #60

So when the study says ww voted 47-45 for Trump former9thward Mar 2020 #61

My, my. Are you aware that 47% is not close to 52% (as originally reported based on exit polls) spooky3 Mar 2020 #73

I don't believe he ever said that. Do you have a link? spooky3 Mar 2020 #29

He never said it directly, but strongly implied radius777 Mar 2020 #71

but look at the language in the article--it does NOT quote Biden as saying he spooky3 Mar 2020 #72

It's an implied promise he used to insulate himself radius777 Mar 2020 #74

Sorry, I don't agree. nt spooky3 Mar 2020 #75

100% correct and true. This is a Referendum on Trump and needs a high turnout to win everything. OnDoutside Mar 2020 #15

I'll go with safe thank you very much. comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #17

Safe and boring it is then ! OnDoutside Mar 2020 #20

The news has been way too exciting for the past three and comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #21

From that angle, i understand. My thought was that the GOP and OnDoutside Mar 2020 #22

I'd be quite happy with Harris but I don't think Abrams has comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #24

Why would use say that? Because she dark skinned? Dream Girl Mar 2020 #31

Because the step from the Georgia state legislature to comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #32

Kind of like the mayor of a small college town? Dream Girl Mar 2020 #37

It isn't a college town dsc Mar 2020 #42

The columbus OH metro area is over two million. spooky3 Mar 2020 #44

South Bend metro is just about 320k dsc Mar 2020 #47

There are more than 8600 undergrads alone at Notre Dame. You would need to add in spooky3 Mar 2020 #53

Geez. That is unnecessary and totally unfair. He said he was fine with Harris. GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #56

If this were an ordinary election, I would agree. That said, of the OnDoutside Mar 2020 #57

How is Amy a safe choice? SharonClark Mar 2020 #38

I agree with you. OnDoutside Mar 2020 #58

Fortunately at end of day it is HIS choice SiliconValley_Dem Mar 2020 #18

Whomever might she be thinking of? brooklynite Mar 2020 #23

The dreamer in me has the same advice for Joe, I gave Hillary, Pick Sanders because he Sunlei Mar 2020 #25

One person's dream is another person's nightmare. LakeArenal Mar 2020 #54

I look towards how to bring together the entire group of d party voters. Sunlei Mar 2020 #64

He very reluctantly helped Hillary LakeArenal Mar 2020 #65

You mean helped and helps the D party. I would never support/supported Sanders 'spoiler' Sunlei Mar 2020 #67

Yes. He's proud to be an Independent LakeArenal Mar 2020 #68

I think he will pick Stacey Abrams 🦅🦅🦅🦅🐥🐥🐤🐤 mchill Mar 2020 #27

I think Bitecofer is interesting, but very little of her spooky3 Mar 2020 #30

I can't believe anyone pays attention to Rachel Bitecofer Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #34

:-) to be fair, her model was more precise than to predict spooky3 Mar 2020 #41

I love Congresswoman Val Demings from Florida FM123 Mar 2020 #33

I seem to have riled her a bit..... brooklynite Mar 2020 #39

I think it virtually has to be a woman of color at this point dsc Mar 2020 #43

Harris doesn't bring CA. We already have it. squirecam Mar 2020 #50

What states in the Midwest can Klobuchar flip? Dem4Life1102 Mar 2020 #63

Bottom right corner of the tweet, there's a little dish looking thing with an arrow pointing upward mr_lebowski Mar 2020 #48

Thanks! flamingdem Mar 2020 #49

Val Demmings for VP evertonfc Mar 2020 #51

Harris MFM008 Mar 2020 #52

So far Biden's calculations have been pretty sound. He has played the long game. He will need emmaverybo Mar 2020 #55

She is correct Dem4Life1102 Mar 2020 #62

I believe Zeus69 Mar 2020 #66

The black vote got Biden to where he is, primarily black women's vote... kentuck Mar 2020 #70

Lol yes we need a socialist on the ticket to help win the Senate seats in Montana grantcart Mar 2020 #76

Kamala Harris is all we need and who I expect Joe will pick beachbumbob Mar 2020 #77

Rachel Needs to Stick to Data Analysis and STFU on Political Strategy Indykatie Mar 2020 #78