Democratic Primaries

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

22. I'd be more hopeful if Trump dropped to 40% approval on 538

Tue Mar 10, 2020, 09:12 PM

Mar 2020

That reference point matters. That reference point impacts preference in November.

Otherwise I'm not kidding myself that anything fundamental has changed in the past 2 weeks. Happy Adjusters always play that game of overreacting to recency, and therefore making absurd projections.

We avoided a socialist and inevitable defeat plus downballot disaster. I am immensely relieved about that.

We also got a jolt of reality toward preference in relation to turnout. I was pleased to play a role in laughing at the turnout clan around here. I've wagered on this stuff successfully for 28 years yet I'm supposed to surrender to a simpleton like Rachel Bitecofer and her new reality. Let me know when that happens. I'll be beyond senile. My friends in Las Vegas would be considerably more harsh toward her than I have been.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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How many of you are feeling much more hopeful than you have in a long time? [View all] Amaryllis Mar 2020 OP

+1000% better! Thekaspervote Mar 2020 #1

It would help if we didn't have COVID-19 to think about. rzemanfl Mar 2020 #2

at least we can look forward to a president who can manage a pandemic DBoon Mar 2020 #20

Not me. aikoaiko Mar 2020 #3

Did you see these threads? Amaryllis Mar 2020 #5

I am breathing easier. nt jrthin Mar 2020 #4

I am. highplainsdem Mar 2020 #6

ABSOLUTELY!! relayerbob Mar 2020 #7

I would if not for the whole "worst pandemic since 1918" buzzkill Alhena Mar 2020 #8

Ditto. Dem2theMax Mar 2020 #40

Me. honest.abe Mar 2020 #9

Yes PatSeg Mar 2020 #21

I feel better than I've felt since around midnight on election day 2016. George II Mar 2020 #10

I am! Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #11

Yes, the increased turnout is a big part of why I am getting excited about Joe. Amaryllis Mar 2020 #19

I am mcar Mar 2020 #12

Wasn't my first choice either, but as things progress, I am feeling increasingly that he Amaryllis Mar 2020 #18

Oh gawd yes! How could we not! Cha Mar 2020 #13

Not sure. Is it hot in here, or is it just me? htuttle Mar 2020 #14

ME! Maru Kitteh Mar 2020 #15

I am because all signs so far Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #16

And Bernie Will Be Involved 100% DanieRains Mar 2020 #39

I do believe the Democrats are rising up! nolabear Mar 2020 #17

I'd be more hopeful if Trump dropped to 40% approval on 538 Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #22

Yes it looks like a perfect storm for Trump, he has totally failed doc03 Mar 2020 #23

African Americans is South Carolina picked up a dusty, beaten up Joe Biden and gave Blue_true Mar 2020 #24

I was panicking after NH. THANK GOD for SC!! I changed to Biden then. Vivienne235729 Mar 2020 #25

I'm one Vogon_Glory Mar 2020 #26

Am feeling the Burn....the Biden Burn! n/t DonaldsRump Mar 2020 #27

The turnout is what is exciting. llmart Mar 2020 #28

THe excitement is contagious! Amaryllis Mar 2020 #29

Our laws changed in Michigan because of the 2018 blue wave. llmart Mar 2020 #30

The monster MUST be evicted. dalton99a Mar 2020 #31

I'm feeling full of hope. underthematrix Mar 2020 #32

I am. William769 Mar 2020 #33

I do. sheshe2 Mar 2020 #34

Yes, Yes, Yes. Much more hopeful, and Joe's speech was wonderful. c-rational Mar 2020 #35

I am so grateful to all those African American voters in SC! Desert grandma Mar 2020 #36

Lawrence O'D on Joe's words: "If you give me the honor of being your president..." onetexan Mar 2020 #37

Sorry but. . . . . tenisfin Mar 2020 #38

Biden's got this. And the GE. oasis Mar 2020 #41

Yes sir or ma'am. I was just thinking the same thing about an hour ago. C Moon Mar 2020 #42

No kidding!!! calimary Mar 2020 #43

I feel so much better! lucca18 Mar 2020 #44

I wouldn't say I'm feeling hopeful... Trueblue Texan Mar 2020 #45