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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

BGBD

(3,282 posts)
1. This should
Wed Mar 11, 2020, 01:15 AM
Mar 2020

show that Biden is in a much better position than Clinton was in 2016. Trumps biggest base of support came from non-college educated whites. Hillary, on the other hand, did historically badly with this group. It would only have taken a modest improvement on the margin there for her to have won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and thus the Presidency. Right now, Biden looks to be able to turn those voters out at a very high rate. He may not actually beat Trump with that group, but it would be a lot closer to even than 25/75. Like I said, if the rest of the Clinton coalition held and you improved only modestly with that group, you'd win.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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