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Democratic Primaries

George II

(67,782 posts) Mon Mar 16, 2020, 11:00 AM Mar 2020

538 Forecast of delegate count at the end of the primaries: [View all]

Biden - 2,430 (439 more than 1991)
Sanders - 1,339 (652 short of 1991)
Gabbard - 45

Others with delegates:

Warren -72
Bloomberg - 61
Buttigieg - 26
Klobuchar - 7

Chances of getting to 1991:

Biden - 99 in 100, >99%
No One - <1 in 100, 0.3%
Sanders - <1 in 100, 0.1%
Gabbard - <1 in 100, 0.0%

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

14 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 Forecast of delegate count at the end of the primaries: [View all] George II Mar 2020 OP

That looks quite sound. Maru Kitteh Mar 2020 #1

George II, thanks for posting this! :) Sloumeau Mar 2020 #2

I'll vote for that! MineralMan Mar 2020 #3

At This Point, Bernie Sanders Would Want to Just Cancel Primaries... TomCADem Mar 2020 #4

HOW MUCH will sanders LOSE on campaigning and failing again? AND we are to trust this guy with MONEY beachbumbob Mar 2020 #5

It's not his money. He's sent out two fundraising emails since the debate - one 10 minutes.... George II Mar 2020 #6

and he opened 5 new offices in PA a few days ago FM123 Mar 2020 #9

No One ranks higher than Bernie NurseJackie Mar 2020 #7

Great news! Here's to Joe Biden Hiawatha Pete Mar 2020 #8

538 says no one has a better chance than Sanders? docgee Mar 2020 #10

Since you posted, Bernie's chances of getting to 1991 have dropped significantly. beastie boy Mar 2020 #11

Will Gabbard even qualify with 15%? LiberalFighter Mar 2020 #12

I'm really worried about Governor No One though. eom tarheelsunc Mar 2020 #13

Always a brides-maid & never a Bride. William769 Mar 2020 #14