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Democratic Primaries

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William769

(56,010 posts)
Mon Mar 23, 2020, 05:05 PM Mar 2020

Two political handicappers say the Electoral College map now leans toward Democrats [View all]

(CNN)In the past five days, two of the most prominent non-partisan political analysts in the country have released new projections that show presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden with a clear edge over President Donald Trump in the Electoral College map.

"The President is an underdog now in his bid for a second term," wrote Stu Rothenberg, founder of the Rothenberg Political Report, in a column published late last week. "That doesn't mean he can't win. It simply means that he is in a more difficult place than he was before, in part because Democrats have united behind a consensus candidate who has potentially broad appeal."

"Biden starts with a slight lead in the Electoral College math. Right now, 232 electoral votes sit in Lean/Likely or Solid Democrat. On the GOP side, 204 electoral votes are in the Lean/Likely/Solid Republican column. There are six states (and one congressional district) in Toss-Up: Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nebraska's 2nd district. Those add up to 102 Electoral votes."

Before we dig too deeply into those numbers, let's remember where we left things in 2016. Trump won 306 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton's 232 -- even as he was losing the popular vote by almost 3 million. (You need to win 270 electoral to be elected president.)

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/23/politics/electoral-college-2020-donald-trump-joe-biden/index.html

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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