The Case for: Joe Biden
https://www.vox.com/2020/1/29/21078640/joe-biden-beat-trump-win-2020-election-primaries
How Democrats won in 2018
Two important storylines about the Democratic Party emerged from the 2018 election.
The first is the rise of the far left, best symbolized by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortezs upset victory against longtime Democrat Joe Crowley in New York. Ocasio-Cortez instantly became a leading voice in the new progressive wing of the party.
The second storyline to emerge has gotten far less attention but explains how Democrats actually won. While Ocasio-Cortez represents an important new force in the party, her win over a fellow Democrat didnt change the party makeup of the House. That bragging right goes to a crop of moderate Democrats who ran careful, pragmatic campaigns. They won on tangible policy ideas, like preserving the Affordable Care Acts provision on preexisting conditions. They werent calling for a revolution, so much as a return to stability.
An analysis by Alan I. Abramowitz at the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia found that candidates in the 2018 midterms who supported Medicare-for-all performed worse than those who did not.
Its true that the progressive left helped inspire enthusiasm, including a surge of new voters and young voters. Latinx voters made up a larger vote share in 2018 than in previous elections.
But as Yair Ghitza of the Democratic data firm Catalist estimates, about 89 percent of the partys improved vote margin is attributable to swing voting not higher turnout by committed Democrats. A big piece of Democratic victory was due to 2016 Trump voters turning around and voting for Democrats in 2018.
Ghitza also found that even though many of the Democratic wins were in suburban districts, rural areas largely moved in a Democratic direction, often by even larger margins than the suburbs.
To carry these districts and win the Electoral College, the Democratic nominee must appeal to a broad swath of voters including Trump voters. Biden stumped in these districts in 2018 and candidates welcomed his help, a sign that hes the strongest choice to do it in 2020.
Don't know about you guys but I want that SOB McConnell gone damn near as much as I do Trump. Sanders ain't got no swing. Some of these Bernie folks just can't seem to get it.